USD Unable To Recoup Thanksgiving Losses after News of German Coalition Prospects

Nov. 24, 2017 (Tempus Inc.) - The greenback has been unable to shrug off its turkey-induced malaise this morning, falling versus most of its major peers. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index is set for its third weekly loss, its longest losing streak since July. The Index is down 1.6% so far in the month of November.

There is no major data set for release today. We expect trading conditions to be light and likely boring, especially when European traders head out for the weekend.

EUR

The Euro looks to build on its gains from yesterday’s session. The common currency received a boost following strong German GDP yesterday which showed the economy expanded 0.8% in the third quarter.

The good news continued for Europe’s largest economy. A separate report showed that business optimism climbed to a record high. In addition, the largest German opposition party indicated it is willing to form and back an administration led by Angela Merkel.

The Euro is at its strongest level in 6 weeks versus the U.S. dollar.

GBP

The British pound was modestly stronger against the U.S. dollar, mostly on greenback weakness. News was light out of the United Kingdom, but a comment by a Bank of England official has been creating headlines. Silvano Tenreyro reiterated recent BoE sentiment by saying that two more interest rate hikes will probably be needed to get inflation back to target.

However, Brexit will be the real determinant of where policy goes next. The comments again highlight how the central bank is being hamstrung from political uncertainty.


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